The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peña Balsamaiso 7.7%
Draw 16%
Yagüe 76.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.2%
21.3%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.9%
20.9%
62.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.
Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yagüe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yagüe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - Yagüe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Peña Balsamaiso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Yagüe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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