Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 19Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday
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Yagüe |
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Villegas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.32 |
4.55 |
7.5 |
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1.33 |
4.76 |
8.05 |
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1.53 |
4.09 |
5.45 |
 Watch |
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1.33 |
4.33 |
8.5 |
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1.3 |
4.6 |
8.9 |
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1.3 |
4.75 |
8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.48) |
4.51 ↑
(3.55) |
7.73 ↑
(5.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Yagüe
67.8% | Draw
20.3% | Villegas
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yagüe's performance.Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yagüe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Yagüe - Villegas Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yagüe (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Yagüe (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yagüe (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).Yagüe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villegas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Yague | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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