Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2	2.85	3.7
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	2.04	2.65	4.2
	2.11	2.74	4.8
	2.05	2.8	4.2
	2.07	2.8	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	2.77 ↓ (2.89)	4.16 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
44.8%

Draw
33.1%

Alcoyano
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

31.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

21%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peña Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peña Deportiva - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Relegation Group)).

Peña Deportiva is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alcoyano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcoyano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peña Deportiva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.11.20	Orihuela - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Peña Deportiva - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Peña Deportiva - Levante B	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Valencia B - Peña Deportiva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTT
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.11.20	La Nucía - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
22.11.20	Alcoyano - Levante B	1:0 ✺
18.11.20	Alcoyano - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
15.11.20	Alcoyano - Hércules	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.18	Alcoyano - Peña Deportiva	3:0
26.11.17	Peña Deportiva - Alcoyano	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.09.14	Alcoyano - Peña Deportiva	2:1 penalties

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