Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	2	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.71
	2.02	3.2	3.71
	1.98	3.34	3.66
	1.93	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	3.64 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
46.4%

Draw
28.3%

Penya Independent
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

30.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Peña Deportiva - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Lukitas ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Barroso V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, Tovar J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Elorza J. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Vassilakis C. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Penya Independent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peña Deportiva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.03.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Torrent - Peña Deportiva	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLL
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.03.24	Penya Independent - Manresa	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Saguntino - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Penya Independent - Alzira	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Terrassa - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Penya Independent - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.11.23	Penya Independent - Peña Deportiva	3:1

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