Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 27

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Peña Sport		Oberena

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.33
	1.67	3.35	4.2
	1.7	3.43	4.3
	1.68	3.58	4.51
	1.72	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	4.31 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
53.1%

Draw
26%

Oberena
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Oberena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Munuce E. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Peña Sport is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peña Sport won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Sport won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
23.03.24	Cortes - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Peña Sport - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cantolagua - Peña Sport	4:4 ✺
02.03.24	Peña Sport - Burladés	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTTW
- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
23.03.24	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Burladés - Oberena	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Oberena - Beti Onak	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Alesves - Oberena	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Oberena - Avance Ezcabarte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.11.23	Oberena - Peña Sport	2:2
07.01.23	Oberena - Peña Sport	0:0
11.09.22	Peña Sport - Oberena	1:1

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