Match Info

Date: 11 March 2020, Wednesday


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8	Watch
	1.44	4.25	7.25	Watch
	1.42	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.01	7.05
	1.43	4.32	8.34
	1.42	4.33	8
	1.44	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	4.22 ↓ (4.48)	7.66 ↓ (8.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
65.6%

Draw
22.2%

Jorge Wilstermann
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.8%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

15%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñarol de Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
11.03.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - São Raimundo Manaus	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.03.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.20	Athletico Paranaense - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.02.20	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
23.02.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional AM	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLT
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
07.03.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.03.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Colo-Colo	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.03.20	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1 ✺
26.02.20	Jorge Wilstermann - San Jose Earthquakes	1:2 ✺
23.02.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.05.17	Peñarol de Montevideo - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0
07.03.17	Jorge Wilstermann - Peñarol de Montevideo	6:2
Copa Sudamericana
28.08.14	Jorge Wilstermann - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:4
20.08.14	Peñarol de Montevideo - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0

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