Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Oriente Petrolero		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	4.95	8.5	Watch
	1.3	5.2	8.55
	1.44	4.50	6.21	Watch
	1.3	5.33	8.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	5 ↑ (4.5)	7.97 ↑ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
69.9%

Draw
18.5%

Jorge Wilstermann
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cardenas L. (G) 52. Velasco M. 3. Alvarez S. 40. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 4. Rodriguez D. 27. Abastoflor C. 30. Berdecio J. 55. Vaca P. 19. Vaca H. 23. Centurion R. 33. Cristaldo J. E.	1. Salinas L. (G) 25. Robson 5. Castillo G. 14. Pardo E. 4. Rodriguez F. 3. Chumacero A. 18. Barron A. 29. Adrian J. 26. Aliaga A. 17. Rodriguez L. 7. Caceres A.
Substitutes
91. Alvarez G. 7. Arabe C. 22. Arauz J. (G) 53. Bailaba A. A. C. 28. Bonilla M. 18. Cabrera D. 26. Cuellar V. 31. Galvez V. 44. Quinteros J. 29. Rojas J. 10. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 50. Tomianovic M.	34. Ancieta C. 10. Chavez C. 22. Flores E. 38. Rocabado I. 28. Soto R. 36. Veizaga E. 23. Velasco A. 37. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
Coaches
Pena A. G.	Viviani Ribera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Robson 🟨,
35', Rodriguez D. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
35', Vaca P. ↓, Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↑,
45+1', Chumacero A. 🟨,
45+3', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
45+4', Cristaldo J. E. 🟨,
45+5', Vaca H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Chumacero A. 🟨,
65', Pardo E. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Cristaldo J. E. (Pen),
69', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
78', Barron A. ↓, Soto R. ↑,
82', Berdecio J. ↓, Quinteros J. ↑,
82', Centurion R. ↓, Cuellar V. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Abastoflor C. ⚽, Salvatierra Flores K. F. (A),
90+3', Adrian J. ↓, Rocabado I. ↑,
90+7', Aliaga A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Oriente Petrolero is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - GVCD San José	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
02.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.09.25	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTLW
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.10.25	The Strongest - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
01.10.25	GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.09.25	Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Blooming	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
05.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	0:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.06.25	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0
28.11.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	2:2
30.07.24	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0
07.04.24	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	2:1
18.02.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	3:0
05.12.23	Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann	3:0

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