Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.70	4.50	Watch
	1.66	3.40	5.00
	1.63	3.60	5.20
	1.70	3.51	5.81
	1.67	3.59	5.37	Watch
	1.69	3.45	5.50
	1.63	3.38	5.28	Watch
	1.66	3.40	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	3.5 ↓ (3.88)	5.2 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
55.7%

Draw
26.5%

Montevideo Wanderers
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 4. Romero F. 6. Ferreira L. 34. Herrera N. 26. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 8. Fernandez N. 13. Darias E. 7. Cabrera J. 11. Jaime C. 19. Arezo M. 99. Hernandez A.	33. Buffa A. (G) 31. Furtado N. 2. Cabral N. 13. Formiliano F. (C) 6. Zazpe L. 5. Queiroz N. 21. Benitez S. 16. Alberti J. 30. Labandeira F. 10. Cosentino L. 24. Zeballos J.
Substitutes
28. Alegre I. 40. Alvarez B. 77. Angulo L. 36. Barboza B. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 3. Lemos M. 27. Lucas Hernandez 5. Remedi E. 33. Rodriguez J.	14. Acosta M. 3. Borthagaray G. 29. Crucci E. 25. Freitas G. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 11. Luna J. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R. 26. Sanchez R.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Corujo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Cosentino L. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
38', Zazpe L. 🟨,
39', Romero F. ↓, Lemos M. ↑,
45', 4 - 1, Jaime C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
46', Zazpe L. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
46', Benitez S. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
61', Cosentino L. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
61', Zeballos J. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
64', Hernandez A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
64', Cabrera J. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
68', Ferreira L. 🟨,
74', Formiliano F. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
76', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
89', 5 - 1, Remedi E. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Centenario.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.

In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.

We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
12.07.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTWL
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.04.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0
19.10.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0
22.06.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0
19.04.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2
14.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2
08.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0
11.05.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0

Upcoming Matches