Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Phönix Lübeck		Altona

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.85	5.9
	1.41	5.11	5.69
	1.4	5.01	5.72
	1.36	4.5	6
	1.34	4.8	6.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.85 ↓ (4.94)	6.02 ↓ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phönix Lübeck
66%

Draw
18.8%

Altona
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Altona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Phönix Lübeck - Altona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Rahimic O. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gottel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Kokovas S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Mekic E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Phönix Lübeck has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Altona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Altona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Phönix Lübeck is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Phönix Lübeck won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Phönix Lübeck won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Phonix Lubeck	11	7	2	2	30:9	21	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
03.05.26	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Jeddeloh	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Hannover II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLL
- Altonaer FC von 1893
German Regionalliga North
02.05.26	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	SC Weiche-08 - Altona	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Drochtersen Assel - Altona	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Altona - Blau-Weiß Lohne	3:2 ✺
15.04.26	Altona - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
24.10.25	Altona - Phönix Lübeck	0:2
06.02.22	Phönix Lübeck - Altona	2:1
19.09.21	Altona - Phönix Lübeck	2:4
06.09.20	Altona - Phönix Lübeck	1:2

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