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Current Win Probability
Pharco 41.6%
Draw 27.5%
Al Ahly Cairo 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
27.1%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
26.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pharco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pharco's form might have worsened.
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Ahly Cairo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pharco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
23.1%
23.1%
Pharco - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pharco: 26.7% โ 80.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pharco (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al Ahly (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Al Ahly (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pharco (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al Ahly (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Daador A. (G) 31. Ahmed M. (C) 13. El Mallah Y. 7. El Tayeb K. 27. Emam S. 10. Fouad A. 74. Hussein M. 6. Kamel G. 11. Mostafa W. 33. Ndiaye B. 57. Reda H.
33. Hamza Alaa (G) 38. Abdallah M. 49. Assiouty I. 14. El Shahat H. 9. Gradisar N. 2. Marei Y. 29. Mohamed T. 42. Raafat M. 4. Ramadan A. (C) 8. Reda A. 12. Shokry M.
Substitutes
37. Abdelhafiz Y. 90. Al Danin S. 22. Ezz M. 9. Farhat M. 77. Medhat W. R. 16. Nadim M. (G) 23. Sayed M.
39. Abdelkarim H. 47. Adel I. 15. Dari A. 20. El Aash M. 41. El Shamy M. 40. Ibrahim K. 48. Moawad O. 18. Seha M. (G) 35. Zaalouk M.
Coaches
Khattab A.
Thorup J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, El Shahat H. ⚽,
32', El Mallah Y. 🟨,
38', El Shahat H. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, El Shahat H. ⚽, Abdallah M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', El Mallah Y. ↓, Ezz M. ↑,
46', El Tayeb K. ↓, Farhat M. ↑,
46', Fouad A. ↓, Medhat W. R. ↑,
46', Mostafa W. ↓, Kamel G. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Gradisar N. ⚽, El Shahat H. (A),
61', 0 - 4, El Shahat H. ⚽, Abdallah M. (A),
66', 1 - 4, Farhat M. ⚽,
68', Ramadan A. ↓, Dari A. ↑,
68', Raafat M. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
68', Mohamed T. ↓, Abdelkarim H. ↑,
70', Emam S. ↓, Abdelhafiz Y. ↑,
80', Abdallah M. ↓, Moawad O. ↑,
81', El Shahat H. ↓, El Shamy M. ↑,
88', Kamel G. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 1.
Pharco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al Ahly's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Al Ahly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pharco is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:25. (average 0.7:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
Watch
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Daador A. (G) 
Ndiaye B. 
Gradisar N. 
Dari A. 
Ibrahim K. 
Thorup J. 
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