Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Pharco		Ghazl El Mahalla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.62	2.98	Watch
	2.99	2.55	3.35
	2.54	2.7	3.26	Watch
	2.7	2.6	3
	2.75	2.75	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.62)	2.64 ↓ (2.71)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pharco
34.3%

Draw
35.5%

Ghazl El Mahalla
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

34.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

33.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pharco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Pharco - Ghazl El Mahalla Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Shika M. (C) 24. El Bahrawi A. 44. Rashdan A. 33. Ndiaye B. 31. Ahmed M. 17. Gaber M. 19. Shaaban A. 4. Fakhri M. 20. Halimo 32. Ndiay A. 11. Mostafa W.	16. Amer M. (C) 24. Amoory A. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 20. Toure M. 17. Bolbol M. 21. Awadalla Ahmed M. 41. Saidi K. 7. Ashraf M. 9. Arfaoui R.
Substitutes
52. Daador A. (G) 13. El Mallah Y. 22. Ezz M. 9. Farhat M. 70. Fathy M. 21. Ghouma A. 74. Hussein M. 77. Medhat W. R. 10. Yasser M.	39. Abdelsalam M. 19. Armoosha 32. El Azab Y. 37. El Moghzi M. 1. El Nafarawy A. (G) 5. Emam S. 90. Mwanga J. 13. Oufa M. 10. Walid B.
Coaches
El Ashri T.	Abdelaal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ndiaye B. ⚽,
15', Fakhri M. 🟨,
30', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
43', Amoory A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Awadalla Ahmed M. ↓, Mwanga J. ↑,
46', Toure M. ↓, Walid B. ↑,
46', Fakhri M. ↓, Farhat M. ↑,
46', Gaber M. ↓, Medhat W. R. ↑,
46', Ndiaye B. ↓, Hussein M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Shousha A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Shaaban A. ↓, El Mallah Y. ↑,
61', Mostafa W. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
72', Saidi K. ↓, Abdelsalam M. ↑,
74', Abdelsalam M. 🟨,
79', Arfaoui R. 🟨,
89', Ashraf M. ↓, Armoosha ↑,
90', Amoory A. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
90+2', El Mallah Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Ghazl El Mahalla has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Last Results with these Odds

Ghazl El Mahalla - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pharco FC
Egyptian Premier League
22.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pharco - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	National Bank of Egypt - Pharco	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Pharco - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLLT
- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
21.03.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - National Bank of Egypt	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pyramids	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
07.03.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	0:0
Egyptian League Cup
19.12.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	0:1
Egyptian Cup
08.03.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	1:0 ET
Egyptian Premier League
01.02.25	Pharco - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2
19.04.23	Pharco - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:1
24.12.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	0:0
27.08.22	Pharco - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1

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