Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Alexandria Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Pharco		Haras El-Hodood

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	2.82	3.4	Watch
	2.42	2.83	3.78
	2.44	2.77	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.29	2.86	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	2.82 ↓ (3.02)	3.5 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pharco
40%

Draw
33.2%

Haras El-Hodood
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	72.7%	0%

Pharco - Haras El Hodood Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Haras El-Hodood (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Haras El-Hodood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Shika M. (C) 24. El Bahrawi A. 33. Ndiaye B. 44. Rashdan A. 21. Ghouma A. 4. Fakhri M. 70. Fathy M. 13. El Mallah Y. 22. Ezz M. 32. Ndiay A. 7. El Tayeb K.	13. Shaaban A. (G) 24. Awad M. 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 10. El Henawy F. 27. Cooper I. 30. Hafez A. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 29. El Negely M. 99. Hamdi M. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
Substitutes
31. Ahmed M. 52. Daador A. (G) 20. Halimo 77. Medhat W. R. 11. Mostafa W. 37. Tamer M. 99. Yasser A. 10. Yasser M. 12. Yassin H.	2. Abdelghani M. 25. Ashraf I. 3. El Badry M. 17. El Deghemy M. 20. Eze E. 9. Gamal A. 6. Magli M. 90. Nayel A. 16. Seha A. (G)
Coaches
El Ashri T.	Shaaban H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Hamdi M. ⚽, Awad M. (A),
24', Fathy M. 🟨,
33', Hafez A. 🟨,
37', Hafez A. ↓, Magli M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ndiay A. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
55', El Henawy F. 🟨,
55', Ezz M. ↓, Mostafa W. ↑,
70', Fakhri M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
70', Fathy M. ↓, Halimo ↑,
75', Ashraf M. ↓, Abdelghani M. ↑,
76', Ghouma A. ↓, Medhat W. R. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Halimo ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, El Mallah Y. ⚽, Yasser A. (A),
87', Abou-Salima I. ↓, Ashraf I. ↑,
88', El Negely M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
90', Ashraf I. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Pharco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pharco FC
Egyptian Premier League
08.04.26	Wadi Degla - Pharco	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Pharco - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pharco	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pharco - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTL
- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
08.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - Haras El-Hodood	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Pyramids	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
05.02.26	Haras El-Hodood - Pharco	2:2
18.05.25	Pharco - Haras El-Hodood	0:0
16.02.25	Haras El-Hodood - Pharco	2:0
21.02.23	Haras El-Hodood - Pharco	0:0
26.10.22	Pharco - Haras El-Hodood	1:0

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