Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Haras El-Hodod Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Pharco		Modern Sport

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.75	2.3
	2.82	2.78	2.68	Watch
	2.89	2.85	2.93
	3.28	2.61	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.8
	2.86	2.7	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.39)	2.73 ↑ (2.57)	2.7 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pharco
31.6%

Draw
34%

Modern Sport
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

36.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

34.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Modern Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modern Sport than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	60%	33.3%

Pharco - Modern Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Modern Sport will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Shika M. (C) 17. Gaber M. 33. Ndiaye B. 31. Ahmed M. 21. Ghouma A. 70. Fathy M. 13. El Mallah Y. 4. Fakhri M. 22. Ezz M. 9. Farhat M. 7. El Tayeb K.	99. Makhlouf M. (G) 77. Fawzi A. 5. Mohamed T. 12. Youssef A. 22. Zaazaa A. 9. Okenabirhie F. 4. Rizk M. (C) 17. Shika A. 33. El Metwaly R. 23. Chika G. 38. Eba A.
Substitutes
20. Halimo 74. Hussein M. 77. Medhat W. R. 11. Mostafa W. 16. Nadim M. (G) 32. Ndiay A. 44. Rashdan A. 23. Sayed M. 10. Yasser M.	25. Helal M. 90. Metwali H. 27. Mohamed G. 19. Mosaad M. 14. Mostafa A. 8. Sabry M. 7. Walid F. 13. Yehia A. (G) 37. Yousri M.
Coaches
El Ashri T.	Samy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', El Mallah Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eba A. ↓, Mosaad M. ↑,
59', Ezz M. ↓, Medhat W. R. ↑,
59', Fakhri M. 🟨,
59', Fakhri M. ↓, Sayed M. ↑,
59', Farhat M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
59', Gaber M. ↓, Ndiay A. ↑,
67', Okenabirhie F. ↓, Mostafa A. ↑,
67', Zaazaa A. ↓, Metwali H. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Metwali H. ⚽,
77', Ghouma A. ↓, Mostafa W. ↑,
77', El Metwaly R. ↓, Mohamed G. ↑,
84', 🟨,
90', Chika G. 🟨,
90', Chika G. ↓, Helal M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 0.

Pharco is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Modern Sport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Modern Sport will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Modern Sport	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Pharco - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Modern Sport - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.44%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pharco FC
Egyptian Premier League
08.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Pharco	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Pharco - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	ZED - Pharco	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Pharco - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Petrojet - Pharco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL
- Modern Sport FC
Egyptian Premier League
08.05.26	Modern Sport - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Modern Sport	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Modern Sport - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Ismaily - Modern Sport	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Modern Sport - ZED	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
28.09.25	Modern Sport - Pharco	1:1
21.02.25	Pharco - Modern Sport	0:0
18.04.24	Modern Sport - Pharco	2:0
21.09.23	Pharco - Modern Sport	0:2
04.05.23	Modern Sport - Pharco	0:0
28.12.22	Pharco - Modern Sport	2:3
09.05.22	Pharco - Modern Sport	1:0

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