Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Pharco		El Gouna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.72	2.92
	2.79	2.75	3.18
	2.78	2.56	3.14	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.9
	2.6	2.61	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.75)	2.65 ↓ (2.77)	3.01 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pharco
34.3%

Draw
34.9%

El Gouna
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

33.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

33.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Pharco - El Gouna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Shika M. (C) 17. Gaber M. 33. Ndiaye B. 44. Rashdan A. 11. Mostafa W. 13. El Mallah Y. 4. Fakhri M. 12. Yassin H. 70. Fathy M. 32. Ndiay A. 7. El Tayeb K.	23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed (C) 3. Khaled A. 28. Metawea M. 6. Ibrahim H. 22. El Nahas M. 90. Karim A. 29. Ojo T. 13. El Gazar O.
Substitutes
31. Ahmed M. 52. Daador A. (G) 22. Ezz M. 9. Farhat M. 21. Ghouma A. 20. Halimo 77. Medhat W. R. 57. Reda H. 10. Yasser M.	25. El Said A. 19. El Sayed B. 14. El Sayed N. 30. Emad M. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 11. Mohamed S. E. D. A. 9. Mohsen M. 36. Turay A.
Coaches
El Ashri T.	Bebo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Fakhri M. 🟨,
20', Mostafa W. 🟨,
28', Karim A. 🟨,
41', El Gazar O. 🟨,
45+5', El Mallah Y. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Karim A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
46', Metawea M. ↓, El Sayed N. ↑,
46', El Gazar O. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
46', Mostafa W. ↓, Halimo ↑,
65', El Nahas M. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Emad M. ⚽,
75', Yassin H. ↓, Ghouma A. ↑,
75', Fakhri M. ↓, Medhat W. R. ↑,
75', Gaber M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
76', Ndiay A. ↓, Ezz M. ↑,
86', Ojo T. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
90+1', Alaa M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

El Gouna - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.7%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pharco FC
Egyptian Premier League
18.04.26	Petrojet - Pharco	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Pharco - Haras El-Hodood	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Wadi Degla - Pharco	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Pharco - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTT
- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
19.04.26	El Gouna - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Modern Sport - El Gouna	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	Al Masry - El Gouna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
01.11.25	El Gouna - Pharco	0:1
03.03.25	Pharco - El Gouna	0:0
10.05.24	El Gouna - Pharco	1:2
28.10.23	Pharco - El Gouna	0:1
23.05.22	Pharco - El Gouna	0:0
04.11.21	El Gouna - Pharco	1:0

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