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Current Win Probability
Pharco 26.8%
Draw 31.9%
National Bank of Egypt 41.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.9%
28.8%
51.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
28%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pharco's performance.
National Bank of Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and National Bank of Egypt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pharco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that National Bank of Egypt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
18.2%
63.6%
Pharco - National Bank of Egypt Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Pharco will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). National Bank will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for National Bank: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Shika M. (G) 24. El Bahrawi A. (C) 44. Rashdan A. 33. Ndiaye B. 70. Fathy M. 21. Ghouma A. 4. Fakhri M. 13. El Mallah Y. 23. Sayed M. 10. Yasser M. 7. El Tayeb K.
1. Ahmed Sobhi (C) 13. Shefo 20. Medhat A. 28. El Zenary M. 12. Meteb A. 18. Reda A. 34. Adel K. 10. Ibrahim M. 22. Abdallah S. 15. Bouchama S. 30. Annor Y.
Substitutes
14. Adel M. 31. Ahmed M. 22. Ezz M. 9. Farhat M. 20. Halimo 11. Mostafa W. 16. Nadim M. (G) 32. Ndiay A. 57. Reda H.
25. Ashraf M. 17. El Nadry A. 9. Faisal O. 7. Hisham Saleh 19. Rahim M. A. 29. Rayan A. 77. Shalaby M. 4. Simpore S. 31. Soliman A. (G)
Coaches
El Ashri T.
Al Ramadi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adel K. ↓, Shalaby M. ↑,
46', Annor Y. ↓, Rayan A. ↑,
46', Abdallah S. ↓, Faisal O. ↑,
46', Fathy M. ↓, Ezz M. ↑,
46', El Mallah Y. ↓, Halimo ↑,
60', Fakhri M. ↓, Farhat M. ↑,
61', Sayed M. 🟨,
64', Reda A. ↓, Simpore S. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Bouchama S. ⚽, Shalaby M. (A),
75', Ibrahim M. ↓, Hisham Saleh ↑,
81', Yasser M. ↓, Adel M. ↑,
81', Sayed M. ↓, Mostafa W. ↑,
90+4', Mostafa W. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 2.
Pharco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, National Bank has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pharco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, National Bank has had a series of home games.
In this match, National Bank is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pharco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Pharco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Egypt
Watch
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Shika M. (G) 
Ndiaye B. 
Ghouma A. 
Bouchama S. 
Annor Y. 
Simpore S. 
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