Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	National Bank of Egypt		El Gouna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	2.98	3.95	Watch
	2.07	3	4.63
	1.98	2.87	4.6	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	1.93	2.83	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.75)	2.92 ↓ (3.22)	4.28 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

National Bank of Egypt
46.4%

Draw
31.9%

El Gouna
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

28.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

National Bank of Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that National Bank of Egypt's form might have worsened.

El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for National Bank of Egypt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

National Bank of Egypt - El Gouna Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. National Bank will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. El Balouti A. (G) 13. Shefo 20. Medhat A. 28. El Zenary M. 12. Meteb A. 25. Ashraf M. 4. Simpore S. 10. Ibrahim M. 22. Abdallah S. 9. Faisal O. (C) 29. Rayan A.	23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 36. Turay A. 5. El Shimi S. 3. Khaled A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 6. Ibrahim H. 25. El Said A. 29. Ojo T. 11. Mohamed S. E. D. A. 9. Mohsen M.
Substitutes
30. Annor Y. 15. Bouchama S. 24. Dowidar M. 17. El Nadry A. 5. Fathi M. 21. Madbouli A. 23. Oufa 18. Reda A. 31. Soliman A. (G)	20. Belia A. 30. Emad M. 17. Gamal A. 39. Khaled A. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 28. Metawea M. 8. Salah R. 37. Wael H.
Coaches
Al Ramadi A.	Bebo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Mohamed S. E. D. A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Mohsen M. ⚽, Ojo T. (A),
45+3', El Zenary M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', El Said A. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
46', Ashraf M. ↓, Madbouli A. ↑,
46', Ibrahim M. ↓, Bouchama S. ↑,
54', El Sayed N. 🟨,
63', Ojo T. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
68', Shefo ↓, Reda A. ↑,
68', Rayan A. ↓, Oufa ↑,
75', Meteb A. ↓, Annor Y. ↑,
80', Khaled A. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Faisal O. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Taalab A. ↓, Belia A. ↑,
90+3', Mohsen M. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, National Bank won 2.

National Bank is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

El Gouna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, National Bank has had a series of home games.

In this match, National Bank is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, National Bank won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, National Bank won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	National Bank Egypt	5	2	0	3	4:7	-3	6
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- National Bank of Egypt SC
Egyptian Premier League
13.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Petrojet	2:3 ✺
07.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	National Bank of Egypt - Modern Sport	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - National Bank of Egypt	1:3 ✺
24.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - ZED	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWW
- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
12.05.26	El Gouna - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	ZED - El Gouna	2:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Pharco - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
25.12.25	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	1:1
Egyptian Premier League
18.10.25	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	0:3
21.01.25	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	1:2
17.06.24	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	1:1
Egyptian League Cup
10.01.24	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	3:1
Egyptian Premier League
14.12.23	National Bank of Egypt - El Gouna	2:3
01.08.22	National Bank of Egypt - El Gouna	1:1

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