Match Info

AFC Challenge League - Round 2

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: RSN Stadium (Phnom Penh)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel


	Phnom Penh Crown		Shan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.95	6.9
	2.08	3.75	2.95	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7.42	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	4.56 ↑ (3.7)	5.82 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phnom Penh Crown
62.2%

Draw
21.2%

Shan United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phnom Penh Crown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phnom Penh Crown's performance.

Shan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phnom Penh Crown than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shan United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Phnom Penh Crown - Shan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chiem S. (G) 2. Park Y. 5. Feher R. 4. Ketting R. 23. Bong S. 16. Long P. 17. Sa T. 10. Dyer M. 8. Orn C. (C) 77. Kim Seo-In 11. Tellez M.	13. Phyo Kyaw Zin (C) 7. Aizu Y. 14. Mauricio 24. Min Zwe Htet 3. Thu Ye Min 17. Hirota R. 21. Hein Khun Kyaw Zin 8. Sekyi M. 26. Khant Myat Kaung 33. Matheus Souza 99. Efrain Rintaro
Substitutes
18. Brak T. 6. Chhin V. 39. Choum P. 15. Choun C. 21. Hamisi M. 31. Houng C. 20. Koeut P. 12. Phach S. 9. Pryadun M. 32. Ratana E. 22. Um V. (G) 30. Wut T.	30. Aung P. P. (G) 29. Aung Ye Yint 22. Bo Hlaing Bo 10. Hamilton J. 20. Ko Sa Aung Pyae 6. Kyaw N. 2. Min Zwe Khant 15. Soe Aung Wunna 4. Soe Thet Hein 1. Thu Pyae Phyo (G) 23. Tun Myo Ku 9. Tun Thu Rein
Coaches
Starynskyi O.	Ono H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Khant Myat Kaung ⚽, Sekyi M. (A),
28', Mauricio 🟨,
31', Bong S. 🟨,
39', Sekyi M. ↓, Ko Sa Aung Pyae ↑,
45', Khant Myat Kaung 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kim Seo-In ↓, Phach S. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Dyer M. ⚽, Sa T. (A),
62', Hein Khun Kyaw Zin ↓, Aung Ye Yint ↑,
64', Bong S. ↓, Pryadun M. ↑,
70', Phach S. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Tellez M. ⚽, Long P. (A),
82', Efrain Rintaro ↓, Bo Hlaing Bo ↑,
82', Matheus Souza ↓, Kyaw N. ↑,
82', Min Zwe Htet ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
85', Orn C. ↓, Koeut P. ↑,
86', Aung Ye Yint 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Dyer M. ⚽,
90+2', Dyer M. ↓, Wut T. ↑,
90+2', Tellez M. ↓, Chhin V. ↑,

Preview

Phnom Penh Crown is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shan United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Phnom Penh Crown has had a series of away games.

Recently, Shan United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Phnom Penh Crown is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Phnom Penh Crown will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Phnom Penh Crown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Phnom Penh Crown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phnom Penh Crown
AFC Challenge League
26.10.25	Dewa United - Phnom Penh Crown	1:1 ✺
Cambodian CPL
19.10.25	Dangkor Senchey - Phnom Penh Crown	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey - Phnom Penh Crown	1:4 ✺
28.09.25	Svay Rieng - Phnom Penh Crown	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	MOI Kompong Dewa - Phnom Penh Crown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWW
- Shan United
AFC Challenge League
26.10.25	Shan United - Tainan City	1:2 ✺
Myanmar National League
18.10.25	Shan United - Dagon	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Shan United - Ayeyawady United	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Shan United - Yadanarbon	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Shan United - Rakhine United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
14.12.23	Shan United - Phnom Penh Crown	2:1
05.10.23	Phnom Penh Crown - Shan United	4:0

Phnom Penh Crown - Shan United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide