Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 2 - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 5


	Phrae United		Suphanburi

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	5.25
	1.56	4.5	4.2
	1.67	4.43	4.34
	1.63	4.82	3.74	Watch
	1.53	4.25	4.75
	1.56	4.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)	4.5 ↓ (4.87)	4.41 ↓ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phrae United
58.8%

Draw
20.4%

Suphanburi
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

18.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

17.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phrae United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phrae United's form might have worsened.

Suphanburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phrae United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suphanburi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Phrae United - Suphanburi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Phrae will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bruno Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Wellington Smith ⚽,
61', 3 - 0, Wellington Smith ⚽,
62', 4 - 0, Matheus Souza ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, van Lingen O. ⚽,
83', 5 - 1, Wongsai S. ⚽,
87', 6 - 1, Bunsuk W. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Phrae is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Suphanburi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Phrae is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Phrae won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 1.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Phrae won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phrae United
Thai League 2
08.03.25	Kasetsart - Phrae United	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Phrae United - Pattaya United	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Police Tero - Phrae United	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Phrae United - Chainat	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Nakhon Si United - Phrae United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- Suphanburi FC
Thai League 2
09.03.25	Chiangmai United - Suphanburi	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Ayutthaya United - Suphanburi	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Suphanburi - Kanchanaburi	3:3 ✺
15.02.25	Pattaya United - Suphanburi	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Suphanburi - Police Tero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
23.11.24	Suphanburi - Phrae United	0:1
13.08.23	Phrae United - Suphanburi	0:0
18.03.23	Suphanburi - Phrae United	0:1
12.11.22	Phrae United - Suphanburi	3:0

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