Match Info

Vietnamese Cup - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Ninh Binh Stadium (Ninh Binh)


	Phu Dong Ninh Binh		Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.75	4.50
	1.68	3.6	4.15
	1.73	3.53	4.34
	1.72	3.58	4.34
	1.69	3.77	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.58)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	4.41 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phu Dong Ninh Binh
54.2%

Draw
25%

Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phu Dong Ninh Binh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phu Dong Ninh Binh than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phu Dong Ninh Binh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dang Van Lam (G) 6. Do Thanh Thinh 86. Dung Quang Nho 5. Friday F. 17. Le Ngoc Bao 7. Nguyen Duc Chien 28. Nguyen Hoang Duc (C) 99. Nguyen Quoc Viet 18. Pham Gia Hung 15. Tran Bao Toan 66. Truong T. A.	89. Le Giang P. (C) 14. Endrick 13. Khong Minh Gia 34. Le Quang Hung 4. Matheus Felipe 17. Minh Trong Vo 26. Ngo K. 39. Nguyen Duc Phu 19. Nguyen Thai Q. C. 10. Raphael Utzig 66. Williams L.
Substitutes
94. Geovane 68. Gustavo Henrique 2. Hoang Thai Binh 26. Le Hai Duc 11. Le Van Thuan 16. Nguyen Le Phat 29. Nguyen Trong Long 25. Quang T. T. (G) 8. Thanh Trung T.	18. Bui N. L. 21. Dao Quoc Gia 7. Makrillos P. 67. Nguyen M. C. (G) 22. Nguyen Tien Linh 15. Pham Duc Huy 28. Tran H. P. 90. Tran Manh Cuong 6. Vo Huy Toan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Phu Dong has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cong An has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Phu Dong is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Phu Dong will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Phu Dong won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Phu Dong won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC
Vietnamese Cup
11.06.26	Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Viettel	4:1 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
07.06.26	Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Thanh Hoa - Phu Dong Ninh Binh	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Song Lam Nghe An - Phu Dong Ninh Binh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTW
- Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City FC
Vietnamese Cup
11.06.26	Nam Định - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	2:4 ✺
Vietnamese V League 1
07.06.26	Hà Nội FC - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Viettel	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Đà Nẵng	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese V League 1
23.05.26	Phu Dong Ninh Binh - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City	1:1
09.11.25	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Phu Dong Ninh Binh	3:4
Vietnamese Cup
20.10.24	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Phu Dong Ninh Binh	0:1 penalties

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