Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Phönix Lübeck		Teutonia Ottensen

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.2	6.6
	1.31	5	6.2
	1.37	5.11	6.17	Watch
	1.34	4.9	6.73
	1.37	5.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	5.08 ↑ (4.38)	6.46 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phönix Lübeck
67.8%

Draw
18%

Teutonia Ottensen
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.2%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phönix Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phönix Lübeck's performance.

Teutonia Ottensen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teutonia Ottensen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Vollert J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Kliti J. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Ganda J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Ganda J. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Lesueur T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phönix Lübeck won 3.

In recent matches, Phönix Lübeck has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Teutonia Ottensen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Teutonia Ottensen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Phönix Lübeck is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Phönix Lübeck won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Phönix Lübeck won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
27.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - Jeddeloh	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Bremer SV - Phönix Lübeck	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTWL
- Teutonia Ottensen
German Regionalliga North
04.05.25	Teutonia Ottensen - Meppen	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Teutonia Ottensen - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Jeddeloh - Teutonia Ottensen	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	TSV Havelse - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Teutonia Ottensen - Lübeck	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
27.10.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	1:9
28.04.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:3
28.02.24	Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	1:0
05.02.23	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:1
17.08.22	Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	0:1
24.10.21	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:2
18.08.21	Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	0:0

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