Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Phönix Lübeck		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	2	3.95	3.05
	2	3.95	3.22
	2.08	3.83	2.89
	1.95	3.66	3.2
	1.98	3.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.71)	3.87 ↑ (3.71)	3.09 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phönix Lübeck
46.2%

Draw
23.9%

TSV Havelse
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

24.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phönix Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phönix Lübeck's performance.

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSV Havelse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phönix Lübeck that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Stover J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Duker J. ⚽,
58', Iloka O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Havelse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Phönix Lübeck won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Phönix Lübeck won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
21.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - Jeddeloh	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Bremer SV - Phönix Lübeck	3:2 ✺
26.03.25	Phönix Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLT
- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
13.04.25	TSV Havelse - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Eintracht Norderstedt - TSV Havelse	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	TSV Havelse - Meppen	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
13.10.24	TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck	3:1
16.03.24	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	4:1
24.09.23	TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck	1:2
04.03.23	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	3:0
04.09.22	TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck	2:2

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