Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Piacenza		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.20	3.60
	1.88	3	3.85
	1.9	3.31	3.77	Watch
	1.85	3	3.7
	1.86	3.3	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.73 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
47.8%

Draw
28.3%

Caldiero Terme
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Piacenza - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group B Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group B Playoffs).

Piacenza is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Caldiero Terme is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Piacenza could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Piacenza is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Piacenza has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Piacenza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Piacenza	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15
4	Caldiero Terme	9	4	3	2	15:12	3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Piacenza - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.46%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.10.26	Fiorenzuola - Piacenza	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Lentigione - Piacenza	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.26	Piacenza - Scanzorosciate	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Piacenza - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Leon - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWT
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Pro Palazzolo - Caldiero Terme	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Este - Caldiero Terme	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.26	Caldiero Terme - Nibbiano Valtidone	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fiorenzuola - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Caldiero Terme - Scanzorosciate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.03.24	Caldiero Terme - Piacenza	2:1
19.11.23	Piacenza - Caldiero Terme	2:1

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