Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)


	Piacenza		Renate

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.15
	3.3	2.8	2.23
	3.2	2.8	2.16
	3.36	2.66	2.16
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.35	3.16	2.09	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.44)	2.9 ↑ (2.83)	2.17 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
27.4%

Draw
31%

Renate
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

33.8%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piacenza's form might have worsened.

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piacenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Piacenza - Renate Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Piacenza will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Renate will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Renate: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 2.

Recent matches Piacenza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renate is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Renate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
16.10.22	Pro Vercelli - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Piacenza - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Piacenza - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
02.10.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Piacenza	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	Piacenza - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
16.10.22	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Trento - Renate	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Renate - Pro Sesto	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
02.10.22	Renate - Pordenone	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Pro Patria - Renate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.22	Renate - Piacenza	0:3
07.11.21	Piacenza - Renate	3:1
28.02.21	Renate - Piacenza	1:1
01.11.20	Piacenza - Renate	3:3
22.01.17	Piacenza - Renate	0:0
11.09.16	Renate - Piacenza	1:1

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