The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Patria 23.6%
Draw 30.8%
Renate 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
26.7%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
26.5%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renate's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Pro Patria - Renate Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 13. Aliata T. 19. Travaglini C. 20. Mora C. 8. Schiavone A. 25. Ferri D. 93. Dimarco C. 40. Schiro T. 10. Mastroianni F. 11. Renelus B.
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 15. Ori R. 11. Delcarro A. 17. Bonetti A. 25. Vassallo F. 14. Cali M. 21. Riviera C. 92. Anelli N. 9. Karlsson O.
Substitutes
80. Bagatti N. 14. Citterio G. 5. Di Munno A. 56. Ganz S. 27. Giudici L. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 39. Motolese M. 7. Orfei A. 21. Ricordi T. 9. Udoh K. 6. Viti M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 10. Kolaj A. 72. Mastromonaco G. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 13. Spalluto S. 19. Ziu D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Bonetti A. ⚽,
8', Renelus B. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Mastromonaco G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mora C. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
50', Riviera C. 🟨,
55', Schiro T. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
55', Schiavone A. ↓, Di Munno A. ↑,
71', Anelli N. ↓, Kolaj A. ↑,
72', Renelus B. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
78', Vassallo F. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
81', Dimarco C. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
81', Orfei A. 🟨,
90', Aliata T. 🟨,
90+3', Delcarro A. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 3, Kolaj A. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.
Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Renate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Renate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Renate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).