Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Renate		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.15	3	2.25
	3.39	3.38	2.13
	3.03	2.98	2.37
	3.25	2.88	2.15
	3.54	3.03	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (4.01)	3.06 ↓ (3.42)	2.22 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
28.6%

Draw
30%

Vicenza Virtus
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.7%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25.5%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renate's performance.

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vicenza Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vicenza Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renate - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 2. De Zen R. 11. Delcarro A. 25. Vassallo F. 17. Bonetti A. 80. Vesentini F. 9. Karlsson O. 16. Ekuban J.	16. Gagno R. (G) 33. Vescovi M. 6. Leverbe M. 27. Sandon T. 19. Tribuzzi A. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 99. Vitale M. 44. Talarico R. 24. Alessio F. 7. Rauti N.
Substitutes
92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 8. Esposito G. 3. Gardoni P. 72. Mastromonaco G. 7. Muhameti E. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 19. Ziu D.	1. Basso M. (G) 28. Caferri L. 10. Capello A. 5. Cappelletti D. 8. Cavion M. 32. Costa F. 14. Cuomo G. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 26. Pellizzari G. 77. Rada A. 11. Stuckler D. 69. Tonin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Karlsson O. ⚽,
45+1', Vescovi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Zonta L. ⚽,
57', Bonetti A. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
65', Alessio F. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
65', Vitale M. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Zonta L. ⚽,
69', Zonta L. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
69', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Caferri L. ↑,
74', Anelli N. 🟨,
75', Ekuban J. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
75', De Zen R. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
75', Vassallo F. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
76', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
83', Rauti N. ↓, Tonin F. ↑,
83', Spedalieri J. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
84', Auriletto S. 🟨,
86', Talarico R. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Stuckler D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Vicenza Virtus is Qualified for Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Vicenza Virtus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Renate won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Vicenza Virtus - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.26	Virtus Verona - Renate	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Renate - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Lecco - Renate	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Renate	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Renate - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWW
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.26	Vicenza Virtus - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Giana Erminio - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	Vicenza Virtus - Trento	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Virtus Verona - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:0
01.02.25	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	0:1
24.09.24	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:0
17.02.24	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	0:2
15.10.23	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:2
11.02.23	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	2:1
16.10.22	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	2:1

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