Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Piacenza		Tropical Coriano

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.35	7.7
	1.4	4.14	7.3	Watch
	1.29	4.2	11
	1.28	5.45	9.82
	1.3	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (2.26)	4.53 ↑ (3.48)	8.96 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
69.5%

Draw
20.3%

Tropical Coriano
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piacenza's performance.

Tropical Coriano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tropical Coriano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piacenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tropical Coriano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piacenza - Tropical Coriano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 🟥,
15', 1 - 0, Taugourdeau A. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 2 - 0, D'Agostino S. ⚽,
26', 3 - 0, Poledri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 4 - 0, ⚽,
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Piacenza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tropical Coriano has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Piacenza is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Piacenza - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.12.25	Pro Sesto - Piacenza	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Piacenza - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Trevigliese - Piacenza	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Piacenza - Correggese	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Piacenza - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLT
- ASD Tropical Coriano
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.12.25	Tropical Coriano - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Imolese - Tropical Coriano	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Tropical Coriano - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tropical Coriano - Rovato Vertovese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Piacenza - Tropical Coriano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide