Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tropical Coriano		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.35	1.92
	3.36	3.42	1.99	Watch
	3.39	3.32	1.98
	3.4	3.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	1.95 (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tropical Coriano
26.7%

Draw
26.7%

Pistoiese
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.5%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tropical Coriano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tropical Coriano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Tropical Coriano - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Tropical Coriano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pistoiese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tropical Coriano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pistoiese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Tropical Coriano
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Imolese - Tropical Coriano	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Tropical Coriano - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tropical Coriano - Rovato Vertovese	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Correggese - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.11.25	Pistoiese - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Asti - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Trevigliese - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Tropical Coriano - Pistoiese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tropical Coriano - Pistoiese Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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