Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Pianese		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3	2.35
	2.80	3.10	2.51	Watch
	3.22	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3	2.83	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.18)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
30.9%

Draw
30.5%

Forlì
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

25.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pianese's form might have worsened.

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forlì's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forlì, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pianese - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 56. Masetti L. 15. Gorelli M. 13. Ercolani L. 16. Chesti F. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 21. Tirelli M. 27. Bertini M. 33. Coccia L. 7. Peli L. 11. Bellini L.	22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 4. Saporetti L. 25. Elia M. 24. Cavallini G. 6. Franzolini A. 3. Menarini F. 8. Ripani D. 10. Macri D. 7. Petrelli E. 11. Farinelli N.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 29. Fabrizi L. 77. Martey C. 57. Porciatti F. (G) 10. Puletto F. 14. Sodero A. 25. Spinosa L. 19. Sussi C.	1. Calvani S. (G) 30. Coveri V. 23. De Risio C. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 2. Mandrelli N. 9. Manuzzi F. 17. Monaco C. 32. Pellizzari S. 33. Saporetti S. 14. Spinelli A. 16. Valentini F. 12. Veliaj G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Macri D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Bellini L. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Bertini M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cavallini G. ↓, Spinelli A. ↑,
46', Farinelli N. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
46', Ripani D. ↓, De Risio C. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Bellini L. ⚽,
62', Peli L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
71', Franzolini A. 🟨,
73', Franzolini A. ↓, Manuzzi F. ↑,
73', Macri D. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Masetti L. (Own goal),
76', Bertini M. ↓, Sussi C. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Coveri V. ⚽,
79', Bellini L. 🟨,
90+1', Saporetti S. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In recent matches, Pianese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forlì is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Forlì may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
16.11.25	Pontedera - Pianese	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pianese - Rimini	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Pineto - Pianese	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pianese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pianese - Bra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLT
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.11.25	Forlì - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Juventus U23 - Forlì	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Livorno - Forlì	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Forlì - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
11.02.18	Forlì - Pianese	2:3
08.10.17	Pianese - Forlì	3:3

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