Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Pineto		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.25
	1.66	3.82	4.73	Watch
	1.76	3.28	4.39	Watch
	1.81	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	3.43 ↓ (3.63)	4.47 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
52.5%

Draw
26.9%

Pianese
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Pineto - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 5. Schirone L. 99. Pellegrino A. 9. D'Andrea F. 10. Bruzzaniti G.	1. Filippis E. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 15. Gorelli M. 56. Masetti L. 33. Coccia L. 5. Balde M. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 30. Proietto F. 16. Chesti F. 14. Sodero A. 29. Fabrizi L.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 55. Capomaggio T. 16. Gagliardi L. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 28. Nebuloso G. 25. Saccomanni G. 23. Serbouti A. 45. Tupone S. 12. Verna A. (G) 18. Viero F. 24. Vigliotti G.	11. Bellini L. 27. Bertini M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 77. Martey C. 7. Peli L. 10. Puletto F. 19. Sussi C. 21. Tirelli M. 22. Zambuto A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Pellegrino A. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Coccia L. ⚽,
43', Ercolani L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ercolani L. ↓, Sussi C. ↑,
52', Postiglione N. 🟨,
54', Fabrizi L. ↓, Bellini L. ↑,
54', Sodero A. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
60', Postiglione N. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
69', Proietto F. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
71', Balde M. 🟨,
72', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
73', Schirone L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
77', Filippis E. 🟨,
77', Simeoni L. 🟨,
82', Masetti L. 🟨,
82', Balde M. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,
82', Pellegrino A. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
83', Baggi F. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Pineto is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Pineto - Perugia	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ternana - Pineto	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pineto - Rimini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWLL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.25	Pianese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pianese - Bra	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pianese - Livorno	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Perugia - Pianese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Pineto - Pianese	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
12.04.25	Pianese - Pineto	4:0
29.11.24	Pineto - Pianese	1:0

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