Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 14

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Pontedera		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3	2.62
	2.87	2.9	2.76
	2.46	3.14	2.84	Watch
	2.66	3.14	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.46)	3.05 ↓ (3.14)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
35%

Draw
30.7%

Pianese
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Pontedera - Pianese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Biagini V. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 5. Corradini F. 21. Perretta G. 7. Migliardi F. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 17. Vitali P. 8. Faggi F. 11. Ianesi S. 33. Battimelli G.	1. Filippis E. (G) 16. Chesti F. 15. Gorelli M. 56. Masetti L. 19. Sussi C. 11. Bellini L. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 30. Proietto F. 33. Coccia L. 14. Sodero A. 29. Fabrizi L.
Substitutes
29. Andolfi T. 24. Bassanini R. 27. Coviello A. 6. Gueye O. 4. Milazzo S. 25. Nabian H. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 12. Raffi A. (G) 30. Strada N. (G) 9. Tarantino J. 26. Tempre M.	5. Balde M. 27. Bertini M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 77. Martey C. 7. Peli L. 57. Porciatti F. (G) 10. Puletto F. 21. Tirelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Proietto F. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Faggi F. ⚽,
45+3', Faggi F. 🟨,
45+6', Simeoni L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fabrizi L. ↓, Bertini M. ↑,
58', Masetti L. 🟨,
60', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
66', Battimelli G. ↓, Tarantino J. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Vitali P. ⚽,
71', Sussi C. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
71', Sodero A. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
75', Coccia L. 🟨,
78', Faggi F. ↓, Pietrelli R. ↑,
78', Simeoni L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
79', Ianesi S. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
87', Coccia L. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,
90+2', Migliardi F. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
90+3', Cerretti C. ↓, Tempre M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent form of Pontedera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Pianese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
08.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Pontedera - Perugia	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
20.10.25	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ascoli - Pontedera	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
08.11.25	Pianese - Rimini	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Pineto - Pianese	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pianese - Ravenna	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pianese - Bra	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.25	Pianese - Pontedera	0:3
16.11.24	Pontedera - Pianese	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Pontedera - Pianese	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.19	Pianese - Pontedera	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.08.19	Pontedera - Pianese	1:1

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