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Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 34.9%
Draw 27.7%
Widzew Łódź 37.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.5%
27.1%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
26.4%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
The chances for Widzew Łódź have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Widzew will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Widzew (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Widzew (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 99. Twumasi E. 5. Juande 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 98. Lokilo J. 27. Labojko J. 17. Boisgard Q. 80. Vallejo H. 19. Ntamack S. 11. Sanca L.
1. Dragowski B. (C) 70. Gazibegovic J. 25. Wisniewski P. 3. Kapuadi S. 40. Garcia M. 5. Papanikolaou G. 79. Biuk S. 10. Alvarez F. 8. Kornvig E. 7. Fornalczyk M. 99. Bergier S.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 7. Felix J. 3. Fikaj E. 10. Katsantonis A. 91. Kucharski M. 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 77. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 22. Sierralta F.
80. Dani Silva 30. Ilic V. (G) 20. Klukowski A. 91. Krajewski M. 19. Males D. 18. Selahi L. 6. Shehu J. 28. Swiderski K. 90. Vermesan I. 14. Visus R. 4. Zyro M.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.
Stolarski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Labojko J. 🟨,
39', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lokilo J. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
56', Bergier S. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
56', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Males D. ↑,
65', Alvarez F. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Papanikolaou G. (Own goal),
71', 1 - 1, Swiderski K. ⚽, Gazibegovic J. (A),
73', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Krajewski M. ↑,
73', Papanikolaou G. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
73', Labojko J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
81', Ntamack S. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
84', Garcia M. 🟨,
88', Czerwinski J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Boisgard Q. ⚽, Lewicki J. (A),
90+2', Boisgard Q. ↓, Maziarz O. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 0.
Piast has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Widzew has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Piast may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Widzew has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Piast: Plach F.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Widzew: Czyz S.
(Knee Injury)
Isaac C.
(Knee Injury)
Lerager L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Paulinho Boia
(Calf Injury).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Piast has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:21 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Piast against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Piast Gliwice
12
6
2
4
22:18
4
20
14
Widzew Lodz
12
1
8
3
15:16
-1
11
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Piast Gliwice: 3.64% Widzew Lodz: 3.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.