Match Info

Serie D - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Piauí		Atlético Cearense

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.45	8.3
	1.31	4.35	10.18
	1.38	4.11	8.24	Watch
	1.3	4	9.5
	1.37	4.36	9.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)	4.25 ↑ (3.66)	9.1 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piauí
68.5%

Draw
21.5%

Atlético Cearense
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piauí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piauí's performance.

Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Cearense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piauí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Cearense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piauí - Atlético Cearense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Carlos Gabriel ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Leandro Amorim ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Piauí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Cearense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Piauí has had a series of away games.

In this match, Piauí is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piauí EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Tirol - Piauí	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Piauí - Sousa	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
21.03.26	Atlético Piauiense - Piauí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLT
- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense 2
08.04.26	Atlético Cearense - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.04.26	Atlético Cearense - Altos	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense 2
28.03.26	Crateús - Atlético Cearense	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Itapipoca - Atlético Cearense	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Cearense - Guarany de Sobral	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTLT

Piauí - Atlético Cearense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide