Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Piauí		Sousa

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.75
	2.58	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.9
	2.67	2.86	2.76
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.66	2.81	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.65)	2.89 ↓ (3.28)	2.72 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piauí
34.9%

Draw
31.5%

Sousa
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.7%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piauí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piauí - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Pedro Paulo (G) 31. Adsson 17. Breno Alan 2. Dudu 29. Eduardo Thuram 7. Islan 27. Kauan Maranhao 28. Leandro Amorim (C) 11. Natan 15. Rayanderson 6. Tenorio	1. Moises (G) 8. Diego Viana (C) 17. Everton Heleno 10. Gianlucas 6. Gilmar 7. Guimaraes 2. Iranilson 11. Luis Henrique 4. Marcelo 3. Pedro Costa 25. Veraldo
Substitutes
12. Alan (G) 98. Gomes 21. Gustavo China 88. Henrique Sousa Santos P. 44. Igor Rangel 66. Matheus Marques 10. Reinaldo 16. Tchagnao F. 5. Toro 87. Vinicius	15. Abraao 9. Bambam 16. Felipe Jacare 5. Hebert 20. Joao Pedro 12. Joao Vitor (G) 14. Kiko 19. Matheus Bambu 18. Natalicio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gianlucas ↓, Felipe Jacare ↑,
54', Pedro Costa 🟨,
62', Veraldo ↓, Kiko ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Eduardo Thuram ⚽,
64', Luis Henrique ↓, Matheus Bambu ↑,
78', Breno Alan ↓, Tchagnao F. ↑,
80', Diego Viana ↓, Natalicio ↑,
80', Iranilson ↓, Bambam ↑,
87', Tenorio ↓, Matheus Marques ↑,

Preview

Piauí is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sousa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Piauí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piauí EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
21.03.26	Atlético Piauiense - Piauí	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Piauí - Atlético Piauiense	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Piauí - Fluminense Piaui	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWWW
- Sousa
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.26	Sousa - Confiança	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.03.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Sousa - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.03.26	Campinense - Sousa	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLLW

Piauí - Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide