Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 1

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Piauí

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.55	5.9
	1.57	3.65	6.84
	1.55	3.41	6.69	Watch
	1.53	3.3	6
	1.6	4.16	4.94	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)	3.7 ↓ (3.86)	6 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
59.9%

Draw
24.8%

Piauí
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Piauí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. ASA will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Piauí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - ASA (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cris (G) 9. Alex Bruno 16. Arthurzinho 4. Cristian Lucca 5. Fabio Aguiar 10. Higor Leite 27. Jailson 25. Jeferson Lopes 22. Paulinho 26. Sammuel 11. Wandson	12. Alan (G) 31. Adsson 15. Andinho 2. Dudu 29. Eduardo Thuram 98. Gomes 8. Guilherme Belea 27. Kauan Maranhao 11. Natan 6. Tenorio 30. Wallace
Substitutes
19. da Conceicao Honorato E. 14. Davi 1. Dida (G) 18. Filipe Ramon 3. Jackson 7. Keliton 20. Leo Bahia 2. Leo Principe 21. Lima V. 15. Roni Lobo	17. Breno Alan 7. Islan 66. Matheus Marques 84. Pedro Paulo (G) 10. Reinaldo 87. Riquelme 16. Tchagnao F. 5. Toro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Higor Leite ⚽,
45', Dudu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guilherme Belea ↓, Islan ↑,
46', Wandson ↓, Lima V. ↑,
66', Jeferson Lopes ↓, Leo Bahia ↑,
66', Arthurzinho ↓, Filipe Ramon ↑,
69', Cristian Lucca 🟨,
75', Sammuel 🟨,
80', Kauan Maranhao ↓, Breno Alan ↑,
80', Dudu ↓, Tchagnao F. ↑,
84', Higor Leite ↓, Keliton ↑,
85', Jailson 🟨,
86', Tenorio ↓, Matheus Marques ↑,
86', Wallace ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
90+3', Islan 🟨,
90+3', Jailson ↓, da Conceicao Honorato E. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by ASA have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Piauí is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ASA is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
14.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
02.03.26	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
28.02.26	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Operário MS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWLL
- Piauí EC
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
21.03.26	Atlético Piauiense - Piauí	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Piauí - Atlético Piauiense	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Piauí - Fluminense Piaui	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Betim - Piauí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWWL

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide