Match Info

Challenge Cup - Final

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali) 🌤️ ...


	Pietà Hotspurs		Valletta

	1	X	2
	5.97	4.07	1.44
	5.59	4.6	1.45	Watch
	5.18	4.49	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (4.54)	4.39 ↑ (4.3)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
16.4%

Draw
20.9%

Valletta
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.1%

21.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.1%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cini R. (G) 9. Arthur 99. Bio E. 6. Borg S. 4. Cutajar I. 8. Gatt L. 17. Leonardi K. 22. Leonardi Z. (C) 27. Mannino G. 31. Melillo T. 10. Micallef J.	1. Aquilina T. (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 4. Micallef N. 2. Mushagalusa E. 10. Paiber B. (C) 6. Ruiz E. 33. Scicluna J. 25. Walker J. 8. Zammit A.
Substitutes
14. Abela D. 2. Catania K. 13. Farrugia J. (G) 5. Formston C. 25. Gatt I. 29. Mangion Z. 7. Xuereb G. 11. Zammit A.	23. Attard A. 21. Azzopardi Conti K. 17. Barbara Z. 16. Carioca J. 15. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 14. Gauci C. 30. Lapira P. 28. MacKay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Walker J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Leonardi K. ⚽,
54', Zammit A. ↓, Barbara Z. ↑,
60', Micallef J. 🟨,
64', Azzopardi J. ↓, Carioca J. ↑,
64', Ruiz E. ↓, Gauci C. ↑,
64', Scicluna J. ↓, Attard A. ↑,
67', Bio E. ↓, Catania K. ↑,
73', Barbara Z. 🟨,
80', Gatt L. 🟨,
83', Gatt L. ↓, Xuereb G. ↑,
85', Cassar Z. ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pietà Hotspurs won 0.

Pietà Hotspurs is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valletta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pietà Hotspurs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valletta is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pietà Hotspurs won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:24 (average 0.5:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1:17 (average 0.2:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge Cup
24.04.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Pietà Hotspurs	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
13.04.25	Żurrieq - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Valletta - Pietà Hotspurs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTWL
- Valletta FC
Maltese Challenge Cup
24.04.25	Żurrieq - Valletta	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Lija Athletic - Valletta	0:6 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
12.04.25	Valletta - Marsa	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Santa Lucia - Valletta	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Valletta - Pietà Hotspurs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
30.03.25	Valletta - Pietà Hotspurs	2:1
18.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:1
Maltese Premier League
08.01.23	Valletta - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1
26.08.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:6
09.03.19	Valletta - Pietà Hotspurs	3:0
20.10.18	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:4
Maltese FA Trophy
21.01.18	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	0:1

Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta