Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Żurrieq		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.45	2.12	Watch
				Watch
	3.18	3.48	2.01
	2.95	3.45	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.64)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
30.1%

Draw
26.3%

Pietà Hotspurs
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.7%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Żurrieq's performance.

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietà Hotspurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Żurrieq that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pietà Hotspurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Żurrieq - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Borg J. (G) 17. Atkins E. 9. Bah S. M. 99. Borg D. 88. Buttigieg J. C. 96. Darmanin S. (C) 11. de Barros A. 5. Glamour E. C. 25. Ihuomah B. 19. Portelli X. 7. Vella O.	13. Farrugia J. (G) 9. Arthur 6. Borg S. 2. Catania K. 25. Gatt I. 8. Gatt L. 22. Leonardi Z. (C) 29. Mangion Z. 27. Mannino G. 18. Ueda H. 11. Zammit A.
Substitutes
87. Bezzina S. 3. Bonnici M. 16. Caruana L. 12. Cocker L. (G) 15. Farrugia S. 1. Stone N. (G) 14. Tabone M. 18. Vella L. 22. Zerafa J.	99. Bio E. 1. Cini R. (G) 4. Cutajar I. 5. Formston C. 15. Kabar H. 17. Leonardi K. 10. Micallef J. 3. Vella K. 7. Xuereb G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Portelli X. 🟨,
70', Mangion Z. ↓, Bio E. ↑,
70', Catania K. ↓, Xuereb G. ↑,
70', Ueda H. ↓, Micallef J. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Xuereb G. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Bah S. M. ⚽,
83', Borg S. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
83', Gatt I. ↓, Formston C. ↑,
83', Ihuomah B. ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
90', Portelli X. ↓, Tabone M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Żurrieq could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pietà Hotspurs is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Żurrieq won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Żurrieq won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
05.04.25	Mġarr United - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Żurrieq - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Marsa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLWLW
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
05.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Valletta - Pietà Hotspurs	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Santa Lucia	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	5:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mġarr United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
22.09.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	1:2
16.03.24	Żurrieq - Pietà Hotspurs	3:0
10.02.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	2:0
03.02.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	2:0

Żurrieq - Pietà Hotspurs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide