Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 17

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Pikine		AJEL de Rufisque

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.52	2.72
	2.97	2.56	2.77	Watch
	2.91	2.51	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)	2.53 ↓ (2.54)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pikine
30.9%

Draw
35.9%

AJEL de Rufisque
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

35.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

37.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pikine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

AJEL de Rufisque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pikine than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Pikine - AJEL de Rufisque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Pikine have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AJEL is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AJEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pikine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Pikine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
9	Pikine	30	7	13	10	20:19	1	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Pikine
Senegal Ligue 1
22.02.26	Ouakam - Pikine	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pikine - HLM	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Camberene - Pikine	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pikine - Casa Sport	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Jaraaf - Pikine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLTW
- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
21.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Génération Foot	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Linguère - AJEL de Rufisque	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
08.11.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Pikine	1:0
16.03.25	Pikine - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1
03.11.24	AJEL de Rufisque - Pikine	0:0

Pikine - AJEL de Rufisque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide