Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 23

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Pilica Białobrzegi		Sokół Ostróda

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.65	3.6	4.35
	2.01	3.16	3.42
	1.98	3.6	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	3.51 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pilica Białobrzegi
47.9%

Draw
26.3%

Sokół Ostróda
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

22.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pilica Białobrzegi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Ostróda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pilica Białobrzegi - Sokół Ostróda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Recent matches Pilica Białobrzegi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ostróda has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pilica Białobrzegi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pilica Białobrzegi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTL
- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.04.23	Sokół Ostróda - Warta Sieradz	0:4 ✺
25.03.23	Legia II - Sokół Ostróda	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Sokół Ostróda - Mławianka Mława	1:4 ✺
11.03.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	5:0 ✺
04.03.23	Sokół Ostróda - Broń Radom	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.09.22	Sokół Ostróda - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:0

Pilica Białobrzegi - Sokół Ostróda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide