Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Pineto		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.5
	1.67	3.35	4.55
	1.68	3.46	4.4
	1.6	3.25	5
	1.62	3.6	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.42)	3.43 ↓ (4.18)	4.68 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
54.7%

Draw
26.1%

Fano
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pineto - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Pineto in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pineto have a series of guest games.

In this match Pineto is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pineto to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.01.23	Termoli - Pineto	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	Vastese - Pineto	1:4 ✺
18.12.22	Pineto - Roma City	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Porto DAscoli - Pineto	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.01.23	Fano - Nuova Florida	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Fano - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Chieti - Fano	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Fano - Cynthialbalonga	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Montegiorgio - Fano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
11.09.22	Fano - Pineto	2:1
10.04.22	Pineto - Fano	1:1
28.11.21	Fano - Pineto	0:0

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