Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Arezzo		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.5	3.8	6.3
	1.49	3.88	7.41
	1.45	4.01	6.77	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.47	3.55	7.18	Watch
	1.48	3.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.63)	3.76 ↑ (3.57)	6.86 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arezzo
62.1%

Draw
24.5%

Pineto
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Arezzo - Pineto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Arezzo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 78. Iaccarino G. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.	22. Tonti A. (G) 23. Serbouti A. 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 5. Schirone L. 99. Pellegrino A. 9. D'Andrea F. 10. Bruzzaniti G.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 45. Perrotta F. 91. Ravasio M. 27. Sussi S. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.	6. Amadio S. 77. Boccacci F. 55. Capomaggio T. 16. Gagliardi L. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 32. Mastropietro F. 68. Menna T. 28. Nebuloso G. 25. Saccomanni G. 18. Viero F. 24. Vigliotti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 3)
11', Serbouti A. 🟨,
15', Venturi G. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Bruzzaniti G. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 1 - 1, De Col F. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Guccione F. ⚽,
29', De Col F. ↓, Arena M. ↑,
35', 2 - 2, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 2, Cianci P. ⚽,
45+7', 3 - 3, Schirone L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Gilli M. 🟨,
62', Serbouti A. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
70', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
71', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
71', Germinario G. 🟨,
76', Pellegrino A. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
77', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
77', Iaccarino G. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
89', Mastropietro F. 🟨,
90+4', Schirone L. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
90+4', D'Andrea F. ↓, Capomaggio T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Arezzo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Arezzo - Latina	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Arezzo - Bra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pineto - Ravenna	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Sambenedettese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bra - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.01.25	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2
07.09.24	Pineto - Arezzo	3:1
17.03.24	Pineto - Arezzo	1:3
12.11.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.05.23	Pineto - Arezzo	3:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2

Upcoming Matches