Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena


	Pineto		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.35
	2.2	3.15	3.65
	5.57	3.49	1.64	Watch
	2.21	3.36	3.15	Watch
	1.97	3.28	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (1.95)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
35.9%

Draw
31%

Juventus U23
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pineto - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 23. Serbouti A. 4. Postiglione N. 55. Capomaggio T. 11. Borsoi M. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 32. Mastropietro F. 5. Schirone L. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 9. D'Andrea F.	22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 4. Pedro Felipe 23. Scaglia F. 32. Turicchia R. 34. Turco S. 8. Owusu A. 16. Faticanti G. 7. Puczka D. 9. Deme S. 90. Okoro A. 41. Cudrig N.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 17. Baggi F. 16. Gagliardi L. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 68. Menna T. 28. Nebuloso G. 99. Pellegrino A. 25. Saccomanni G. 45. Tupone S. 18. Viero F.	11. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 18. Brugarello M. 29. Fuscaldo M. (G) 17. Guerra S. 5. Macca F. 31. Martinez B. 6. Ngana V. 26. Pagnucco F. 40. Rouhi J. 15. Savio F. 1. Scaglia S. (G) 19. Vacca A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, D'Andrea F. ⚽,
17', Borsoi M. 🟨,
28', Turicchia R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Puczka D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Okoro A. ⚽,
44', Capomaggio T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Capomaggio T. ↓, Baggi F. ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
63', Owusu A. ↓, Macca F. ↑,
63', Okoro A. ↓, Vacca A. ↑,
70', Mastropietro F. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
70', Serbouti A. ↓, Menna T. ↑,
76', Deme S. ↓, Anghele L. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Faticanti G. ⚽,
89', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
89', Germinario G. ↓, Saccomanni G. ↑,
90+1', Turco S. ↓, Ngana V. ↑,
90+1', Puczka D. ↓, Pagnucco F. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Pineto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pineto - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Pineto - Ascoli	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWTL
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Juventus U23 - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Ascoli - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Juventus U23 - Livorno	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Carpi - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Juventus U23 - Novara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.24	Pineto - Juventus U23	1:2
09.12.23	Juventus U23 - Pineto	2:2

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