Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pineto		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.55	3	2.08	Watch
	4.26	2.99	2.02
	3.51	3.03	2.12	Watch
	3.7	2.8	2
	3.9	3.12	2.03	Watch
	4	2.9	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.15)	2.96 ↓ (3.19)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pineto
24.5%

Draw
30.9%

Ascoli
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pineto - Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 3. Ienco S. 16. Gagliardi L. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 99. Pellegrino A. 11. Borsoi M. 9. D'Andrea F. 24. Vigliotti G.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 80. Corradini G. 11. Oviszach E. 62. Milanese T. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 19. Biggi S. 77. Boccacci F. 80. El Haddad S. 35. Giannini D. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 28. Nebuloso G. 23. Serbouti A. 10. Spina M. 18. Viero F.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N. 7. Silipo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Corradini G. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, D'Andrea F. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Corradini G. ⚽,
41', Oviszach E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Guiebre A. 🟨,
58', Vigliotti G. ↓, Biggi S. ↑,
67', Oviszach E. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
69', Gori G. 🟨,
73', Ienco S. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
73', Gagliardi L. ↓, Giannini D. ↑,
76', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
76', Corradini G. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
76', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
78', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
84', Borsoi M. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
84', D'Andrea F. ↓, Viero F. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Galuppini F. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pineto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ascoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
01.02.26	Juventus U23 - Pineto	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Pineto - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pontedera - Pineto	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio	3:3 ✺
03.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTTW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.26	Ascoli - Livorno	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ascoli - Perugia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Juventus U23 - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Pianese - Ascoli	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Pineto - Ascoli	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.25	Ascoli - Pineto	0:1
27.10.24	Pineto - Ascoli	1:0

Upcoming Matches