Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pinhalnovense		Serpa

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Pinhalnovense
74.4%

Draw
17%

Serpa
8.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.8%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

13.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pinhalnovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pinhalnovense's performance.

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pinhalnovense than the current prediction. (-37.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pinhalnovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Pinhalnovense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Serpa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Serpa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Serpa have a series of home games.

In this match Pinhalnovense is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pinhalnovense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Louletano - Pinhalnovense	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Pinhalnovense - Barreirense	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Esperança de Lagos - Pinhalnovense	4:2 ✺
24.10.21	Pinhalnovense - Imortal	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Olhanense - Pinhalnovense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLTW
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.11.21	Serpa - Juventude de Évora	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.21	Serpa - Estoril Praia	0:5 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.11.21	Serpa - Olhanense	0:3 ✺
31.10.21	Louletano - Serpa	6:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Serpa - Covilhã	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLLLW

Pinhalnovense - Serpa