The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louletano 53.3%
Draw 28.3%
Serpa 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
27.9%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
26.4%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Louletano - Serpa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 3.
Louletano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Serpa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Serpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Louletano is a strong favorite.
We predict that Louletano will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Louletano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).
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