Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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Serpa |
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Juventude de Évora |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.92 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.27 |
2.82 |
3.22 |
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2.18 |
2.99 |
3.35 |
 Watch |
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2.15 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
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2.11 |
3.19 |
3.4 |
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2.07 |
3.05 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.07) |
2.98 ↓
(3.05) |
3.2 ↑
(2.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Serpa
41.7% | Draw
30.2% | Juventude de Évora
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Serpa - Juventude de Évora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 🟥,
- 76', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Serpa will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Serpa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Serpa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
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| 6 | Juv. Evora | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Serpa - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Campeonato de Portugal - Group D | | | 29.11.25 | Juventude de Évora - Serpa | 0:1 | | 07.01.24 | Serpa - Juventude de Évora | 1:0 | | 20.08.23 | Juventude de Évora - Serpa | 2:0 | | Campeonato de Portugal - Group B | | | 12.03.23 | Juventude de Évora - Serpa | 0:0 | | 27.11.22 | Serpa - Juventude de Évora | 2:0 | | 24.04.22 | Serpa - Juventude de Évora | 1:2 | | 20.03.22 | Juventude de Évora - Serpa | 1:0 |
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