Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cancún 86 (Cancún)


	Pioneros de Cancún		Tapachula Soconusco

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.29	3.91
	1.78	3.25	3.85
	1.72	3.6	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	3.92 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pioneros de Cancún
50.7%

Draw
26.5%

Tapachula Soconusco
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tapachula Soconusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 🟥,
64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,
68', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera Premier Playoffs and 7th).

Tapachula may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Pioneros de Cancún carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Pioneros de Cancún has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pioneros de Cancún against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Primera Premier
07.09.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Pioneros de Cancún	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Celaya	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.04.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Racing de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Pioneros de Cancún	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTTL
- Tapachula Soconusco
Mexican Primera Premier
12.09.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Inter Playa Del Carmen	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Racing de Veracruz	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.04.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Tapachula Soconusco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Pioneros de Cancún	2:1
08.11.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco	4:1
01.02.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco	0:0

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