Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 11

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)


	Piracicaba		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.03	3	3.65
	2.2	2.9	3.55
	2.12	2.99	3.55	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.06	3.1	3.65
	2.03	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.82)	2.98 ↓ (3.43)	3.61 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
44%

Draw
30.7%

Ferroviária
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piracicaba's form might have worsened.

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piracicaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Piracicaba - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Thayllon ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Denilson ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Bessa E. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Recent matches Piracicaba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviária is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Piracicaba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Piracicaba is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.25	Votuporanguense - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Piracicaba - São Bento	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rio Claro - Piracicaba	2:3 ✺
05.02.25	Piracicaba - CA Juventus	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Piracicaba - Santo André	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
16.02.25	Ferroviária - São José-SP	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Linense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Ferroviária - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
31.01.24	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	4:2
27.05.23	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:1

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