Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 10Date: 16 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Piracicaba |
|
Paulista |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.73 |
2.8 |
6.25 |
|
 |
1.7 |
2.78 |
6.1 |
|
 |
1.71 |
2.63 |
6.98 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.00 |
4.83 |
 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
3.22 |
5.29 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.55 |
6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.52) |
3 ↓
(3.53) |
5.91 ↓
(6.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Piracicaba
54.1% | Draw
30.5% | Paulista
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piracicaba's form might have worsened.Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piracicaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Piracicaba - Paulista Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 1 - 0, Luizao ⚽,
Preview
Piracicaba is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals) Paulista is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)Piracicaba has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Paulista's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Paulista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Piracicaba is the team to beat.We predict that Piracicaba will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).Including home match between the teams, Piracicaba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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