Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)
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 |
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 |
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Piracicaba |
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Sampaio Corrêa FE |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.42 |
3.95 |
7.59 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.74 |
7.67 |
Watch |
 |
1.44 |
3.5 |
7 |
|
 |
1.4 |
3.88 |
7.75 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.65) |
3.67 ↑ (3.3) |
7.04 ↑ (5.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Piracicaba 62.1% | Draw 24.9% | Sampaio Corrêa FE 13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+4%)Piracicaba - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 🟥,
- 76', 1 - 0, Antonio Gabriel ⚽,
- 83', 🟥,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Preview
Piracicaba is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sampaio Corrêa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Piracicaba is the clear favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Piracicaba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;