Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 5

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.35	3.15	3.42
	2.21	3	3.26
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.28	3.11	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (3.07)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	3.22 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
41.1%

Draw
30.2%

Operário Ferroviario
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

30.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

29%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa FE's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa FE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 7. Alexandre Souza 3. Daniel Nunes 5. Joao Martini 8. Luan Gama 2. Lucas Carvalho 4. Lucas Marreta 11. Matheus A. 10. MT 9. Paulo Victor 6. Renan Diniz	41. Diego Monteiro (G) 4. Andre 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 80. Favero 36. Jhow Torres 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 17. Matheus Galdino 37. Miguel Tavora 34. Renan Gustavo
Substitutes
15. Cruz Manhaes O. 12. Eduardo (G) 19. Elias 22. Ewerton Potiguar 21. Gregory 16. Guilherme 20. Jean 17. Lecaros A. 13. Magno 14. Ryan Andrade 18. Walber 31. Ze Pompeu (G)	31. Anthony 25. Bernardo Rodrigues 35. Erig L. 21. Gabriel Cardozo 90. Germano 15. Henrique 12. Talles Lima (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Andre 🟥,
26', Alexandre Souza 🟥,
38', MT 🟨,
45+3', Kaua Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Dudu Mosconi 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Luan Gama ⚽,
61', Joao Martini ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
62', MT ↓, Cruz Manhaes O. ↑,
62', Matheus A. ↓, Jean ↑,
62', Jhow Torres 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Dudu Mosconi ⚽,
67', Paulo Victor ↓, Elias ↑,
69', Lucas Marreta 🟥,
76', Favero ↓, Henrique ↑,
78', Elias ↓, Magno ↑,
82', Kaua Gomes ↓, Gabriel Cardozo ↑,
87', Dudu Mosconi ↓, Germano ↑,
88', Gregory 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Matheus Galdino ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Operário PR has had a series of home games.

Operário PR could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.36%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Velo Clube - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLTT

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